Iran is two days from signing peace with Washington yet still firing across its own borders: IRGC Shahed-136 drones struck headquarters of Iranian Kurdish opposition parties near Koy Sanjaq, east of Erbil in Iraq's Kurdistan region, even as Tehran prepares to sign a US memorandum in Geneva on June 19. That accord reopens the Strait of Hormuz and lifts the American naval blockade the moment ink hits paper, but its "ceasefire on all fronts" clause is already contested; Hezbollah reads it as requiring an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, while Israeli jets keep hitting the south, leveling mosques and homes in Majdal Selm.
Russia ran its overnight campaign against Ukrainian cities rather than the front. Drones hit a university, a mall and homes in Zaporizhzhia, killing one and wounding seven, and struck the Sumy region, where a UAV hit an equestrian school's stables and killed three horses. Kyiv's deep-strike arm answered in kind, footage circulating of a Ukrainian drone slamming an apartment block in Elektrostal east of Moscow, while Russia accused Ukrainian forces of wounding civilians on a bus carrying a children's football team in Bryansk.
The day's macro pivot is the Federal Reserve. Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting today, with rates widely expected to hold at 3.50 to 3.75 percent after May CPI ran at 4.2 percent, a three-year high; with at least three policymakers seen projecting hikes this year, markets are watching whether Warsh drops the Fed's easing bias. In Brussels, NATO defense ministers convene this week with Rutte touting fresh European pledges to the alliance's crisis forces, while UN chief Guterres visited Haiti as the new UN-backed Gang Suppression Force deploys against gangs holding roughly 90 percent of the capital amid 2,300 killed and 1.5 million displaced this year.
SENTINEL's board carries no compound alerts. Strategic airlift is heaviest on the transatlantic legs, ten Europe-to-North America movements led by five C-17As against balanced return and Indo-Pacific flows, backed by a 15-hull Atlantic tanker surge. USS Abraham Lincoln and USS George H.W. Bush remain paired in the Arabian Sea, the Nimitz holds in the Caribbean and the George Washington in the Philippine Sea. Thermal layers showed only routine gas flaring across Iraqi and Iranian oilfields, with no strike signature to read into them.