Oil finally gave up its war premium in a rush: Brent dropped 7.7 percent to 89.37 and WTI 6.5 percent to 83.47 after Washington and Tehran paused their attacks on each other, with mediators circulating a 10-day ceasefire proposal meant to put the stalled interim memorandum back on track. SENTINEL's logistics board shows the machinery still leaning forward, 20 Europe to MENA airlift movements behind 15 C-17s, six tankers on the Atlantic corridor, Lincoln and Bush still paired in the Arabian Sea, though a smaller Europe to North America flow led by two C-5Ms points the other way. The truce's edges stay ragged: air defenses downed another explosive drone over Erbil, the second attack on US positions there in as many days, and an Iranian drone struck a Kurdish opposition camp near Koya in Iraqi Kurdistan.
Ukraine kept hammering Russian fuel logistics, sending drones 1,300 kilometers to hit the Prioritet state-reserve fuel depot in Udmurtia in what the republic's governor called its most massive drone attack in months, while also striking the sea port in Rostov-on-Don and targets in Taganrog; Russian officials said two civilians died and eight were hurt in Rostov-on-Don. A Russian missile on a Kharkiv residential area killed a 40-year-old woman and gravely wounded her two children, and the bulk carrier Golden Leo, hit by three cruise missiles on July 19, capsized off Ukraine's coast with ten dead. A new diplomatic front opened as Iran summoned Ukraine's ambassador over the Caspian strike on a ship ferrying arms between Russia and Iran, with regime channels threatening ballistic missile retaliation against Kyiv.
Gaza's ceasefire frayed further as an Israeli strike on a vehicle in Deir al-Balah killed Colonel Wael El-Ledawi, central Gaza's internal security chief, and an aide, while a drone strike on al-Qarara near Khan Younis left two more Palestinians critically wounded. In Sudan, the RSF killed 15 civilians at Burbur south of el-Obeid, where a besieged city of half a million remains under relentless drone fire.
SENTINEL's thermal layer logged only single-frame signatures, the strongest a 1,094 megawatt flare on the Marathon Boise to Pasco pipeline corridor in eastern Oregon, uncorroborated and consistent with peak Western wildfire season rather than any incident. The storm board carries hurricanes Fausto and Genevieve in the eastern Pacific, Tropical Cyclone 12W in the western Pacific, and Eir in the Indian Ocean.