Ukraine's deep strikes reached into Russia's logistics belt overnight, killing eight and wounding more than 60 in the deadliest reported drone attack inside Russia in more than two years: seven night-shift workers died and 24 were injured at a Wildberries logistics hub in Kotovsk in Tambov region, an eighth person was killed and 37 injured at the company's Elektrostal complex east of Moscow, and an oil depot in nearby Noginsk caught fire. SENTINEL's thermal layer independently registered a 136 megawatt signature at the TETs-29 power plant site in Elektrostal, matching the fires reported across that industrial strip; Zelensky said the facilities, hundreds of kilometers from the front line, were used in Russian drone production. Moscow's counter-strikes hit three civilian cargo ships in the port of Mykolaiv with Geran-type drones, vessels Russia claimed were delivering military cargo.
The US air campaign against Iran ran a seventh consecutive night, with fighters, drones and warships striking surveillance sites, underground weapons storage and maritime targets from Jask and Qeshm to Ahvaz and Yazd; the IRGC claimed hits on a US drone depot in Bahrain, and Iranian missiles again struck the US-linked Muwaffaq Salti Airbase in Jordan before dawn Saturday. Supreme leader adviser Mohsen Rezaei warned Iran would move to "full-scale offensive operations" if the strikes run another two or three days, and Axios reports Washington is sending dozens more refueling aircraft to Israel ahead of a possible expansion; SENTINEL's board shows the plumbing already moving, with 11 Europe to MENA airlift runs behind seven C-17s, a six-ship KC-135 shuttle from MENA into the Gulf, and Lincoln and Bush holding the Arabian Sea. Iranian drones also struck Kurdish opposition camps in Sulaymaniyah, where munitions depots burned through secondary detonations.
Friday's close put numbers on the escalation: Brent jumped 4.6 percent to 88.10 and WTI 4.5 percent to just under 82, capping a weekly gain of more than 10 percent as Strait of Hormuz transits fell by more than half from the prior week. The AI unwind deepened in parallel, the Nikkei sliding 4 percent into formal correction territory, more than 11 percent off its June 25 record, as Kioxia shed another 16 percent and TSMC's raised capex guidance fed fears that AI spending is peaking; the VIX rose 12 percent.
Away from the two wars, the UN rights chief appealed for calm in Pakistan-administered Kashmir, where dozens have been killed since June in a crackdown on the banned Joint Awami Action Committee ahead of July 27 assembly elections. In Gaza, an Israeli strike on a funeral procession outside a Nuseirat mosque killed at least seven people and wounded 19 by preliminary reports, and jets again hit southern Lebanon. The only other thermal note is a single-frame 153 megawatt reading at the Lower Monumental dam powerhouse in Washington state with no reported incident, most likely an artifact.